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 |
| SPECIAL
ALERT! |
| Acclaim
Entertainment (Nasdaq:AKLM) |
Six
Month Target Price: $14.01 |
|
| |
FY
08/02 |
FY
08/03 |
FY
08/04 |
|
| Revenue
(Millions) |
$308 |
$379 |
$502 |
|
| Earnings
Per Share (diluted)* |
$.39 |
$.67 |
$.87 |
|
 |
| 52-Week
Range |
$6.25
- $2.08 |
|
|
|
| Shares
Outst. (fully diluted) |
91.4
million |
|
|
|
| Approx.
Float |
59.4
million |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1. |
AKLM,
now growing at an annual rate of 30%, is currently
trading in the market at 9 times fiscal year 2003
earnings estimate, and 7.7 times fiscal 2004 earnings
estimate. |
| 2 |
AKLM,
is a leading worldwide developer, publisher and mass marketer of software for
use with interactive entertainment game consoles. |
| 3. |
AKLM’s
fiscal year ends 08/02, AKLM projects $308 million in revenue, and earnings of
$38.6 million, or 39 cents a share. |
| 4. |
4.
AKLM projects net revenue for fiscal year 2003 of $379 million, and expects to
earn $66 million, or 67 cents a share |
 |
|
| 5. |
AKLM
projects net revenue for fiscal year 2004 of $502.0 million, a 32% increase over
its fiscal year 2003 net revenue guidance. AKLM also forecasts that net earnings
and EPS will grow to $85.0 million and $0.87 per diluted share, a 29% increase
over its fiscal 2003 earnings guidance. |
| 6. |
AKLM intends to release 56 new title’s in fiscal 2003: 17 for PlayStation(R)2;
14 for Nintendo's GameCube(TM); 18 for Microsoft's Xbox(TM) and 7 for Nintendo's
Game Boy(R) Advance. |
| 7. |
AKLM,
in fiscal 2004, the Company intends to release between 62-70 title’s across
the four leading next-generation platforms. |
 |
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|
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AKLM,
founded in 1987, develops, publishes, distributes and markets, under its brand
names, video and computer games for popular interactive entertainment consoles,
such as Sony's PlayStation? and PlayStation? 2, Nintendo's Game Boy Advance and
GameCube?, and Microsoft's Xbox.
In fiscal 2001, AKLM released a total of 35 titles for PlayStation?, PlayStation?
2, Game Boy Color, Dreamcast and PCs. In fiscal 2002, AKLM plans to release
a total of approximately 50 titles for PlayStation?, PlayStation? 2, Game Boy Advance,
GameCube? and Xbox, as well as PCs. AKLM develops its own software in its
six software development studios located in the United States and the United
Kingdom, which includes a motion capture studio and a recording studio in the
United States, and contracts with independent software developers to create software
for AKLM. AKLM distributes its software directly through its subsidiaries
in North America, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Spain and Australia.
AKLM uses regional distributors in Japan and the Pacific Rim. AKLM
also distributes software developed and published by third parties, develops
and publishes strategy guides relating to its software and issues "special
edition" comic magazines from time to time to support its time valued brands,
Turok and Shadow Man.
|
|
AKLM’s
operating strategy is to develop and publish video and computer game software
for each of the major video game consoles and PCs. AKLM uses a brand structure
and operates its business under four separate strategic business groups or key
brands: Acclaim Games, Acclaim Sports, Acclaim Max Sports and Club Acclaim.
AKLM
invests in the creation and development of software programming tools that are
used in the design and development of its software. AKLM has used these
programming tools to create game engines for each of the next-generation hardware
systems.
|
|
In
our opinion, there are 2 ways to value AKLM, one a multiple of earnings,
and two a multiple of revenues. According to Multex, AKLM’s peer
group trades in the marketplace at 40.72 times earnings (for those few companies
that earn money). Based on $0.39 per share in earnings for this fiscal year (ending
August), this would equate to a stock price of $15.88 per share.
If
we look to value AKLM on a multiple of revenues, then we should look no
further than AKLM’s competition, such as THQI and ERTS. Like THQI
and ERTS, AKLM is growing in just about all aspects of their business,
the only difference for the most part is, Wall Street has not heard of AKLM.
Twenty analysts from the largest brokerage firms in the world cover ERTS, and
seventeen cover THQI, but only seven analysts from small regional brokerage firms
cover AKLM. If AKLM were to trade today in the marketplace, at the same average
multiple of revenues as THQI and ERTS (which is 4.16 times), then based on AKLM's
forecast’s of $308 Million in revenues for this fiscal year, this would
equate to a stock price of $14.01 per share. If you want to do the calculations
for next fiscal year and the year after, then maybe you will see what we see
ie. AKLM compared to its peers, appears cheap.
|
With
the continued positive outlook in AKLM’s revenue and earnings growth,
we believe that AKLM is a compelling and undervalued investment opportunity
for risk oriented investors. We believe, as Wall Street catches on to the AKLM
story, this could have positive effect to AKLM’s share price.
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Disclaimer:

Bullseye Stock Profiles (BSP) publishes reports providing
information on selected companies that BSP believes has investment potential.
BSP is not a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer. This report is provided
as an information service only, and the statements and opinions in this report
should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.
BSP accepts no liability for any loss arising from an investor's reliance on or
use of this report. An investment in AKLM is considered to be highly speculative
and should not be considered unless a person can afford a complete loss of investment.
BSP has not been hired by AKLM to do this profile and did not receive any
compensation, of any kind, from or on behalf of (AKLM) for this profile.
BSP and/or its affiliates or agents have not discussed this profile with the management
of AKLM. Subsequently BSP may buy or sell shares of AKLM stock in
the open market. This report contains forward-looking statements, which involve
risks, and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from
those set forth in the forward-looking statements. For further details concerning
these risks and uncertainties, see the SEC filings of AKLM including the
company's most recent annual and quarterly reports. |
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